The Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300436) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 52% share price decline.
Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 8.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have P/S ratios below 3.1x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical's Recent Performance Look Like?
For instance, Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.3%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 36% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical's P/S?
Even after such a strong price drop, Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.