Fanli Digital Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600228) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 23% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Interactive Media and Services industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.5x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 30%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 31% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 19% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Even after such a strong price drop, Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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尽管价格大幅下跌,但Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd目前可能仍在发出非常看跌的信号,市销率(或 “市盈率”)为10.2倍,因为中国互动媒体和服务行业中几乎有一半的公司市盈率低于4.5倍,甚至低于2倍的市销率也并不少见。但是,仅按面值计算市销率是不明智的,因为可以解释其为何如此之高。
泛力数码科技有限公司最近的表现如何?
例如,考虑一下由于收入下降,Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd的财务表现不佳。许多人可能预计,在未来一段时间内,该公司的表现仍将超过大多数其他公司,这阻止了市销售率的暴跌。你真的希望如此,否则你会无缘无故地付出相当大的代价。
尽管尚无分析师对Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd的估计,但请看一下这个免费的数据丰富的可视化图表,看看该公司如何增加收益、收入和现金流。
泛力数码科技有限公司的收入增长趋势如何?
为了证明其市销率是合理的,Fanli Digital TechnologyLtd需要实现远远超过该行业的出色增长。