The Nanjing Sciyon Wisdom Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002380) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 29% share price drop.
Following the heavy fall in price, Nanjing Sciyon Wisdom Technology Group may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 4.7x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Nanjing Sciyon Wisdom Technology Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Nanjing Sciyon Wisdom Technology Group's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
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Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Nanjing Sciyon Wisdom Technology Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.2%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 44% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 66% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 35%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Nanjing Sciyon Wisdom Technology Group's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Nanjing Sciyon Wisdom Technology Group's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
A look at Nanjing Sciyon Wisdom Technology Group's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Nanjing Sciyon Wisdom Technology Group, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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