The Chongqing Zaisheng Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603601) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 45% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Chongqing Zaisheng Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.3x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 28x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Chongqing Zaisheng Technology has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Chongqing Zaisheng Technology would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 40%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 66% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 107% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 42%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Chongqing Zaisheng Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Chongqing Zaisheng Technology looks quite average now. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Chongqing Zaisheng Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Chongqing Zaisheng Technology that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
