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LanZhou Foci Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002644) 28% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 18:52

LanZhou Foci Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002644) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 28% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, LanZhou Foci PharmaceuticalLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.8x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 27x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for LanZhou Foci PharmaceuticalLtd as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

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SZSE:002644 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on LanZhou Foci PharmaceuticalLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is LanZhou Foci PharmaceuticalLtd's Growth Trending?

LanZhou Foci PharmaceuticalLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 49% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 42% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's alarming that LanZhou Foci PharmaceuticalLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On LanZhou Foci PharmaceuticalLtd's P/E

LanZhou Foci PharmaceuticalLtd's P/E hasn't come down all the way after its stock plunged. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of LanZhou Foci PharmaceuticalLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for LanZhou Foci PharmaceuticalLtd you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on LanZhou Foci PharmaceuticalLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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