Be Wary Of Jiangsu Huachen Transformer (SHSE:603097) And Its Returns On Capital
Be Wary Of Jiangsu Huachen Transformer (SHSE:603097) And Its Returns On Capital
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating Jiangsu Huachen Transformer (SHSE:603097), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
如果我们想确定下一个多功能装袋机,有一些关键趋势需要关注。首先,我们希望看到经过验证的 返回 关于正在增加的资本使用率(ROCE),其次是扩大 基础 所用资本的比例。归根结底,这表明这是一家以不断提高的回报率对利润进行再投资的企业。但是,在调查了江苏华晨变压器(SHSE: 603097)之后,我们认为目前的趋势不符合多袋机的模式。
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
资本使用回报率(ROCE):这是什么?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Jiangsu Huachen Transformer, this is the formula:
对于那些不确定ROCE是什么的人,它衡量的是公司从其业务中使用的资本中可以产生的税前利润金额。要计算江苏华晨变压器的这个指标,公式如下:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
已动用资本回报率 = 息税前收益 (EBIT) ¥(总资产-流动负债)
0.096 = CN¥89m ÷ (CN¥1.6b - CN¥659m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
0.096 = 8900万元人民币 ÷(16亿元人民币-6.59亿元人民币) (基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。
Therefore, Jiangsu Huachen Transformer has an ROCE of 9.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Electrical industry average of 6.3%.
因此,江苏华晨变压器的投资回报率为9.6%。从绝对值来看,回报率很低,但比电气行业6.3%的平均水平要好得多。
In the above chart we have measured Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Jiangsu Huachen Transformer.
在上图中,我们将江苏华晨变压器先前的投资回报率与之前的表现进行了对比,但可以说,未来更为重要。如果你想了解分析师对未来的预测,你应该查看我们的江苏华晨变压器的免费报告。
What Can We Tell From Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's ROCE Trend?
我们可以从江苏华晨变压器的投资回报率趋势中得出什么?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Jiangsu Huachen Transformer, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 22% over the last four years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
当我们查看江苏华晨变压器的投资回报率趋势时,我们并没有获得太大的信心。更具体地说,投资回报率已从过去四年的22%下降。尽管考虑到该业务的收入和资产数量都有所增加,但这可能表明该公司正在投资增长,而额外的资本导致了投资回报率的短期下降。而且,如果增加的资本产生额外的回报,那么从长远来看,企业乃至股东都将受益。
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Jiangsu Huachen Transformer has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 41%, which we'd consider pretty high. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
另外一个相关的说明是,重要的是要知道江苏华晨变压器的流动负债与总资产的比率为41%,我们认为这个比率相当高。这可能会带来一些风险,因为该公司的运营基本上在很大程度上依赖其供应商或其他类型的短期债权人。理想情况下,我们希望看到这种情况减少,因为这将意味着减少承担风险的债务。
What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Huachen Transformer's ROCE
我们可以从江苏华晨变压器的ROCE中学到什么
While returns have fallen for Jiangsu Huachen Transformer in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. These trends don't appear to have influenced returns though, because the total return from the stock has been mostly flat over the last year. So we think it'd be worthwhile to look further into this stock given the trends look encouraging.
尽管近来江苏华晨变压器的回报率有所下降,但令我们感到鼓舞的是,销售额正在增长,业务正在对其运营进行再投资。但是,这些趋势似乎并没有影响回报,因为该股的总回报率在过去一年中基本持平。因此,鉴于趋势令人鼓舞,我们认为值得进一步研究该股。
Jiangsu Huachen Transformer does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
江苏华晨变压器确实存在一些风险,我们注意到3个警告信号(其中2个有点令人担忧),我们认为你应该知道。
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
对于那些喜欢投资稳健公司的人,可以查看这份资产负债表稳健和股本回报率高的公司的免费清单。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。