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The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Shanxi Guoxin Energy (SHSE:600617) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Shanxi Guoxin Energy (SHSE:600617) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

山西国信能源(SHSE: 600617)的五年基础收益增长令人鼓舞,但在此期间,股东仍处于亏损状态
Simply Wall St ·  02/01 22:53

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Shanxi Guoxin Energy Corporation Limited (SHSE:600617) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 26% over a half decade. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 17% in the last 90 days. But this could be related to the weak market, which is down 15% in the same period.

对于许多人来说,投资的要点是产生比整个市场更高的回报。但是主要的游戏是找到足够的赢家来抵消输家。因此,我们不会责怪山西国信能源股份有限公司(SHSE: 600617)的长期股东对他们的持股决定表示怀疑,该股在五年内下跌了26%。股东们最近的表现更加艰难,股价在过去90天中下跌了17%。但这可能与疲软的市场有关,同期市场下跌了15%。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Shanxi Guoxin Energy isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果说过去一周有意义的话,投资者对山西国信能源的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在不匹配的情况。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

Shanxi Guoxin Energy became profitable within the last five years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

山西国信能源在过去五年内实现盈利。这通常会被视为利好,因此我们惊讶地看到股价下跌。其他指标可以更好地解释股价走势。

In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 9.7% a year in the five year period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

与股价形成鲜明对比的是,在五年期间,收入实际上每年增长9.7%。对收入和收益进行更详细的审查可能会也可能无法解释股价下跌的原因;可能有机会。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

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SHSE:600617 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 2nd 2024
SHSE: 600617 2024 年 2 月 2 日收益和收入增长

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪酬比资本状况相似的公司的大多数首席执行官更适中。但是,尽管首席执行官的薪酬总是值得检查的,但真正重要的问题是公司未来能否增加收益。在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,请点击此处。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Shanxi Guoxin Energy shareholders can take comfort that their trailing twelve month loss of 19% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 25%. Given the total loss of 5% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shanxi Guoxin Energy (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但山西国信能源的股东们可以放心,他们过去十二个月的19%的亏损没有25%左右的市场亏损那么严重。鉴于五年内每年的总损失为5%,在过去的十二个月中,回报似乎有所恶化。尽管罗斯柴尔德男爵确实告诉投资者 “街上有血时买入,即使血液是你自己的”,但买家需要仔细检查数据,以确定业务本身是健全的。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经确定了山西国信能源的两个警告信号(至少有一个不容忽视),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

We will like Shanxi Guoxin Energy better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些重大的内幕收购,我们会更喜欢山西国信能源。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份免费清单,列出了最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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