When close to half the companies in the IT industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.4x, you may consider Bringspring Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300290) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 4.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
What Does Bringspring Science and Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Bringspring Science and Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Bringspring Science and Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Bringspring Science and Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.1%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 9.6% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 44% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Bringspring Science and Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Bringspring Science and Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Bringspring Science and Technology (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
有了这些信息,我们发现Bringspring Science and Technology的市销售率高于该行业。显然,该公司的许多投资者比最近所表示的要看涨得多,他们不愿意以任何价格抛售股票。只有最大胆的人才会假设这些价格是可持续的,因为近期收入趋势的延续最终可能会严重压制股价。
关键要点
仅使用市销比来确定是否应该出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作为公司未来前景的实用指南。
我们已经确定,Bringspring Science and Technology目前的市销率远高于预期,因为其最近的收入在中期内有所下降。当我们看到收入倒退且表现低于行业预测时,我们认为股价下跌的可能性是真实存在的,这使市销率回到了合理的境地。如果最近的中期收入趋势继续下去,这将使股东的投资面临重大风险,潜在投资者面临支付过高溢价的危险。
始终有必要考虑永远存在的投资风险幽灵。我们已经确定了Bringspring Science and Technology的两个警告信号(至少一个是重要的),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。