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Hongbaoli Group Corporation (SZSE:002165 Investor Three-year Losses Grow to 29% as the Stock Sheds CN¥412m This Past Week

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 13:40

You can invest in an index fund if you want to make sure your returns approximately match the overall market. But in any given year a good portion of stocks will fall short of that. The Hongbaoli Group Corporation, Ltd. (SZSE:002165) is such an example; over three years its share price is down 31% versus a marketdecline of 28%. And over the last year the share price fell 24%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 23% in thirty days. We do note, however, that the broader market is down 13% in that period, and this may have weighed on the share price.

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

Because Hongbaoli Group Corporation made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

Over the last three years, Hongbaoli Group Corporation's revenue dropped 5.2% per year. That is not a good result. The annual decline of 9% per year in that period has clearly disappointed holders. That makes sense given the lack of either profits or revenue growth. Of course, sentiment could become too negative, and the company may actually be making progress to profitability.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

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SZSE:002165 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 2nd 2024

This free interactive report on Hongbaoli Group Corporation's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Hongbaoli Group Corporation the TSR over the last 3 years was -29%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Hongbaoli Group Corporation shareholders are down 24% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -25%. Unfortunately, last year's performance is a deterioration of an already poor long term track record, given the loss of 1.1% per year over the last five years. It will probably take a substantial improvement in the fundamental performance for the company to reverse this trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Hongbaoli Group Corporation , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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