Optimism Around Shanghai Jiao Yun Group (SHSE:600676) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 15% This Past Week
Optimism Around Shanghai Jiao Yun Group (SHSE:600676) Delivering New Earnings Growth May Be Shrinking as Stock Declines 15% This Past Week
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the main game is to find enough winners to more than offset the losers So we wouldn't blame long term Shanghai Jiao Yun Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600676) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 15% over a half decade. It's down 19% in about a month. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 13% in the same time.
爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超過市場指數基金的回報。但是主要的遊戲是找到足夠的贏家來抵消輸家。因此,我們不會責怪上海交雲集團有限公司(SHSE: 600676)的長期股東對他們的持股決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了15%。它在大約一個月內下降了19%。但這可能與糟糕的市場狀況有關——股市同時下跌了13%。
With the stock having lost 15% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
由於該股在過去一週下跌了15%,值得一看業務表現,看看是否有任何危險信號。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。研究市場情緒如何隨着時間的推移而變化的一種方法是研究公司股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
During five years of share price growth, Shanghai Jiao Yun Group moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.
在五年的股價增長中,上海交雲集團從虧損轉爲盈利。這通常會被視爲利好,因此我們驚訝地看到股價下跌。其他指標可能會讓我們更好地了解其價值如何隨着時間的推移而變化。
Arguably, the revenue drop of 11% a year for half a decade suggests that the company can't grow in the long term. That could explain the weak share price.
可以說,五年來每年收入下降11%,這表明該公司無法長期增長。這可以解釋股價疲軟的原因。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖描述了收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片即可顯示確切的數值)。
Take a more thorough look at Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通過這份免費的資產負債表報告,更全面地了解上海交雲集團的財務狀況。
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
那麼股東總回報(TSR)呢?
We've already covered Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Shanghai Jiao Yun Group shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 12%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.
我們已經報道了上海交雲集團的股價走勢,但我們也應該提及其股東總回報率(TSR)。股東總回報率試圖捕捉股息(就好像它們被再投資一樣)以及向股東提供的任何分拆或折扣資本籌集的價值。分紅確實爲上海交雲集團的股東帶來了好處,這筆現金支付解釋了爲什麼其在過去5年中12%的股東總虧損沒有股價回報率那麼糟糕。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While it's certainly disappointing to see that Shanghai Jiao Yun Group shares lost 9.6% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 25%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 2% over the last half decade. Whilst Baron Rothschild does tell the investor "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", buyers would need to examine the data carefully to be comfortable that the business itself is sound. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shanghai Jiao Yun Group (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
儘管上海交運集團股價全年下跌9.6%確實令人失望,但這還不如25%的市場跌幅那麼糟糕。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中2%的年化虧損還要糟糕。儘管羅斯柴爾德男爵確實告訴投資者 “街上有血時買入,即使血液是你自己的”,但買家需要仔細檢查數據,以確定業務本身是健全的。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經向上海交雲集團確定了兩個警告信號(至少有一個有點令人擔憂),了解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。
We will like Shanghai Jiao Yun Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些重大的內幕收購,我們會更喜歡上海交雲集團。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費清單,列出了最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。