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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Shenzhen Asia Link Technology Development Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002316) 27% Share Price Plunge

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 01:30

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Shenzhen Asia Link Technology Development Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002316) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 13%.

Since its price has dipped substantially, considering around half the companies operating in China's Diversified Financial industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2x, you may consider Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd as an solid investment opportunity with its 1.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002316 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024

What Does Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 23%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 70% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for a contraction of 11% shows the industry is more attractive on an annualised basis regardless.

In light of this, it's understandable that Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, with revenue going quickly in reverse, it's not guaranteed that the P/S has found a floor yet. Even just maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares heavily.

The Key Takeaway

The southerly movements of Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As expected, our analysis of Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd confirms that the company's severe contraction in revenue over the past three-year years is a major contributor to its lower than industry P/S, given the industry is set to decline less. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Although, we would be concerned whether the company can even maintain its medium-term level of performance under these tough industry conditions. In the meantime, unless the company's relative performance improves, the share price will hit a barrier around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Asia Link Technology DevelopmentLtd (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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