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Should Weakness in Xilinmen Furniture Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603008) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 02:32

Xilinmen FurnitureLtd (SHSE:603008) has had a rough three months with its share price down 22%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Xilinmen FurnitureLtd's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Xilinmen FurnitureLtd is:

6.6% = CN¥260m ÷ CN¥3.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.07 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Xilinmen FurnitureLtd's Earnings Growth And 6.6% ROE

When you first look at it, Xilinmen FurnitureLtd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 11%. Despite this, surprisingly, Xilinmen FurnitureLtd saw an exceptional 34% net income growth over the past five years. Therefore, there could be other reasons behind this growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

We then compared Xilinmen FurnitureLtd's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 8.1% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603008 Past Earnings Growth February 2nd 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is 603008 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 603008 is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Xilinmen FurnitureLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Xilinmen FurnitureLtd has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 19%, meaning that it has the remaining 81% left over to reinvest into its business. So it looks like Xilinmen FurnitureLtd is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.

Besides, Xilinmen FurnitureLtd has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 18%. However, Xilinmen FurnitureLtd's ROE is predicted to rise to 15% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Summary

In total, it does look like Xilinmen FurnitureLtd has some positive aspects to its business. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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