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Moog's (NYSE:MOG.A) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

Moog's (NYSE:MOG.A) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

穆格(紐約證券交易所代碼:MOG.A)的利潤似乎存在質量問題
Simply Wall St ·  02/02 06:05

Moog Inc.'s (NYSE:MOG.A) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

Moog Inc. 's(紐約證券交易所代碼:MOG.A)近期強勁的收益並沒有對該股產生太大影響。我們認爲這是由於投資者將目光投向了法定利潤之外並關注他們所看到的情況。

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:MOG.A Earnings and Revenue History February 2nd 2024
紐約證券交易所:MOG.A 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 2 月 2 日

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Moog issued 6.3% more new shares over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Moog's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

評估收益質量的一個重要方面是研究一家公司在多大程度上稀釋了股東。碰巧的是,穆格發行的新股比去年增加了6.3%。結果,其淨收入現在分成了更多的股票。在不注意每股收益的情況下談論淨收益,就是被大數字分散注意力,而忽略與之交談的較小數字 每股 價值。點擊此鏈接,查看穆格的歷史每股收益增長情況。

A Look At The Impact Of Moog's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

看看穆格稀釋對其每股收益(EPS)的影響

Moog was losing money three years ago. On the bright side, in the last twelve months it grew profit by 12%. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 12% over the same period. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

穆格三年前就虧損了。好的一面是,在過去的十二個月中,它的利潤增長了12%。另一方面,收入 每股 同期僅上漲了12%。因此,稀釋對股東回報產生了顯著影響。

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Moog can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

從長遠來看,股價的變化往往會反映每股收益的變化。因此,如果穆格能夠持續增長每股收益,這對股東來說肯定是積極的。但是,如果其利潤增加而每股收益保持不變(甚至下降),那麼股東可能看不到太多好處。出於這個原因,你可以說從長遠來看,每股收益比淨收入更重要,前提是目標是評估公司的股價是否可能上漲。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

On top of the dilution, we should also consider the US$36m impact of unusual items in the last year, which had the effect of suppressing profit. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Moog doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

除了稀釋外,我們還應考慮去年不尋常項目對3,600萬美元的影響,其效果是抑制了利潤。看到不尋常的項目使公司利潤損失從來都不是一件好事,但從好的方面來看,情況可能遲早會好轉。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。如果穆格不認爲這些不尋常的支出重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其利潤將在來年增加。

Our Take On Moog's Profit Performance

我們對穆格利潤表現的看法

To sum it all up, Moog took a hit from unusual items which pushed its profit down; without that, it would have made more money. But unfortunately the dilution means that shareholders now own a smaller proportion of the company (assuming they maintained the same number of shares). That will weigh on earnings per share, even if it is not reflected in net income. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Moog's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example - Moog has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

總而言之,穆格因不尋常的物品而受到打擊,這降低了利潤;沒有這些,它本可以賺更多的錢。但不幸的是,稀釋意味着股東現在擁有的公司股份比例較小(假設他們保持相同數量的股份)。這將壓制每股收益,即使它沒有反映在淨收益中。鑑於截然不同的考慮,我們對穆格的利潤是否恰當地反映了其潛在的盈利潛力沒有強烈的看法。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,那麼考慮它面臨的任何風險至關重要。例如-Moog 有 3 個警告信號,我們認爲你應該注意。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在本文中,我們研究了許多可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,以此作爲業務指南。但是,還有很多其他方法可以告知你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率表明商業經濟狀況良好,而另一些人則喜歡 “追隨資金”,尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這批擁有高股本回報率的免費公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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