Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002953) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 34% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.8x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 27x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Earnings have risen at a steady rate over the last year for Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable, which is generally not a bad outcome. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this good earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Enough Growth For Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.5%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with EPS shrinking 9.3% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable's P/E
Despite the recent share price weakness, Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable's P/E remains higher than most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.