The Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile Mould Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300998) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 32%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 43% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile MouldLtd's P/S ratio of 2.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Auto Components industry in China is also close to 2.1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
SZSE:300998 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024
What Does Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile MouldLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile MouldLtd as its revenue has been rising very briskly. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile MouldLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile MouldLtd?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile MouldLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 43% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 48% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile MouldLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile MouldLtd's P/S?
Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile MouldLtd's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile MouldLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Ningbo Fangzheng Automobile MouldLtd (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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