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Dalian Friendship (Group) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000679) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 17:38

Dalian Friendship (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000679) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 25% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in China's Multiline Retail industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may still consider Dalian Friendship (Group) as a stock not worth researching with its 9.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000679 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024

How Has Dalian Friendship (Group) Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Dalian Friendship (Group)'s financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. Perhaps the market believes that revenue growth will improve markedly over current levels, inflating the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Dalian Friendship (Group), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Dalian Friendship (Group)'s is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 49% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 73% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Dalian Friendship (Group)'s P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Dalian Friendship (Group)'s shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Dalian Friendship (Group) revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Dalian Friendship (Group) has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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