Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300771) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 30% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 48% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.4x, you may still consider Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech as a stock probably not worth researching with its 4.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
![ps-multiple-vs-industry](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240203/0-8723475c099b8b9623bb1d3a30750c51-0-b4f8b0f2a2c080000c026ccf729f6dbf.png/big)
How Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech Has Been Performing
For instance, Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 67%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 64% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 60% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
There's still some elevation in Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Shenzhen Zhilai Sci and Tech (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.