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The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) CO., LTD's (SZSE:002541) Earnings Yet As Shares Tumble 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 17:54

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) CO., LTD (SZSE:002541) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 53% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 28x, you may consider Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) as a highly attractive investment with its 9.1x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

The recently shrinking earnings for Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) have been in line with the market. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings may begin to slide even faster. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. In saying that, existing shareholders may feel hopeful about the share price if the company's earnings continue tracking the market.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002541 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 1.8%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 60% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 28% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 41%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s P/E?

Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group)'s P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 6 warning signs for Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) (2 are a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

You might be able to find a better investment than Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group). If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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