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Digiwin Software Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300378) 26% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 3 06:59

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Digiwin Software Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300378) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 15% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Digiwin SoftwareLtd's P/E ratio of 30.1x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 28x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Digiwin SoftwareLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300378 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Digiwin SoftwareLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Growth For Digiwin SoftwareLtd?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Digiwin SoftwareLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 50% last year. EPS has also lifted 9.3% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 30% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 41% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's curious that Digiwin SoftwareLtd's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Digiwin SoftwareLtd's P/E?

Digiwin SoftwareLtd's plummeting stock price has brought its P/E right back to the rest of the market. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Digiwin SoftwareLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Digiwin SoftwareLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Digiwin SoftwareLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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