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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Zhejiang Goldensea Hi-Tech Co., Ltd (SHSE:603311) As Shares Slide 26%

浙江金海高科技股份有限公司(SHSE:603311)の株価が26%下落して信頼性に欠ける

Simply Wall St ·  02/02 18:11

Zhejiang Goldensea Hi-Tech Co., Ltd (SHSE:603311) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 41% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Zhejiang Goldensea Hi-Tech's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 56x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 27x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

For instance, Zhejiang Goldensea Hi-Tech's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603311 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Goldensea Hi-Tech will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Zhejiang Goldensea Hi-Tech would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 65% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 67% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 41% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Goldensea Hi-Tech is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Zhejiang Goldensea Hi-Tech's P/E?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Zhejiang Goldensea Hi-Tech's very lofty P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Zhejiang Goldensea Hi-Tech currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Goldensea Hi-Tech you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Zhejiang Goldensea Hi-Tech's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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