The Weihai Guangtai Airport Equipment Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002111) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 39% in that time.
After such a large drop in price, Weihai Guangtai Airport EquipmentLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Machinery industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.5x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
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What Does Weihai Guangtai Airport EquipmentLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Weihai Guangtai Airport EquipmentLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Weihai Guangtai Airport EquipmentLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Weihai Guangtai Airport EquipmentLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Weihai Guangtai Airport EquipmentLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 2.9%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 7.9% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 28% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we understand why Weihai Guangtai Airport EquipmentLtd's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
The southerly movements of Weihai Guangtai Airport EquipmentLtd's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Weihai Guangtai Airport EquipmentLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Weihai Guangtai Airport EquipmentLtd (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Weihai Guangtai Airport EquipmentLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.