share_log

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey&Design Academe Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603458) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 17:48

Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey&Design Academe Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603458) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 34% share price drop.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey&Design AcademeLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.3x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 28x and even P/E's above 50x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey&Design AcademeLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603458 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey&Design AcademeLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey&Design AcademeLtd's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey&Design AcademeLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 43%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 78% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey&Design AcademeLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey&Design AcademeLtd's P/E?

The softening of Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey&Design AcademeLtd's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey&Design AcademeLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey&Design AcademeLtd (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of Guizhou Transportation Planning Survey&Design AcademeLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment