Ningbo Water Meter (Group) Co., LTD. (SHSE:603700) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 25% in that time.
After such a large drop in price, Ningbo Water Meter (Group)'s price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 28x and even P/E's above 50x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
The earnings growth achieved at Ningbo Water Meter (Group) over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
SHSE:603700 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Ningbo Water Meter (Group), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Ningbo Water Meter (Group)'s is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 7.6% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 44% overall drop in EPS. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Ningbo Water Meter (Group)'s P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
What We Can Learn From Ningbo Water Meter (Group)'s P/E?
Ningbo Water Meter (Group)'s P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Ningbo Water Meter (Group) revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Ningbo Water Meter (Group) (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ningbo Water Meter (Group), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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