The ARTS Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:603017) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 24% in that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, ARTS Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Professional Services industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.7x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How ARTS Group Has Been Performing
ARTS Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Keen to find out how analysts think ARTS Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like ARTS Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.7% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 5.6% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 11% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 23% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why ARTS Group's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
ARTS Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Professional Services companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of ARTS Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with ARTS Group (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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