The Shenzhen Soling Industrial Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002766) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 36% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies operating in China's Auto Components industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may still consider Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 33% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd's P/S
There's still some elevation in Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Soling IndustrialLtd that we have uncovered.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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