The Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300019) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 31% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.7x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 28x and even P/E's higher than 50x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 49% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 25% each year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 22% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd's P/E?
Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.