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Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300778) 26% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 18:51

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300778) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 17% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Professional Services industry have P/S ratios below 2.7x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300778 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024

How Has Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.6% decrease to the company's top line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design's P/S

Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design (3 shouldn't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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