Gansu Mogao Industrial Development Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600543) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.8x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Beverage industry in China have P/S ratios below 5.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Gansu Mogao Industrial DevelopmentLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Gansu Mogao Industrial DevelopmentLtd has been doing very well. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Gansu Mogao Industrial DevelopmentLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Gansu Mogao Industrial DevelopmentLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
Gansu Mogao Industrial DevelopmentLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 54%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 32% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 18% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Gansu Mogao Industrial DevelopmentLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that Gansu Mogao Industrial DevelopmentLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Gansu Mogao Industrial DevelopmentLtd that we have uncovered.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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