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Market Cool On Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300616) Revenues Pushing Shares 26% Lower

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 20:23

Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300616) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 40% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, it would still be understandable if you think Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.5x, considering almost half the companies in China's Consumer Durables industry have P/S ratios above 1.8x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300616 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 3rd 2024

How Has Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection Performed Recently?

Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 23% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% during the coming year according to the eight analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 12%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it odd that Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection's P/S?

Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Consumer Durables companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

To us, it seems Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

Having said that, be aware Guangzhou Shangpin Home Collection is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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