share_log

Shenzhen Baoming Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002992) Shares May Have Slumped 43% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 20:29

Shenzhen Baoming Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002992) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 43% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 21% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio of 6.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Semiconductor industry in China is also close to 5.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002992 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 3rd 2024

How Has Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?

The revenue growth achieved at Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 25%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 11% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 35% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd looks to be in line with the rest of the Semiconductor industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look at Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Baoming TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment