If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Wave Cyber (Shanghai)Co (SHSE:688718) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Wave Cyber (Shanghai)Co is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.045 = CN¥35m ÷ (CN¥867m - CN¥98m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Therefore, Wave Cyber (Shanghai)Co has an ROCE of 4.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 6.1%.
In the above chart we have measured Wave Cyber (Shanghai)Co's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Wave Cyber (Shanghai)Co here for free.
So How Is Wave Cyber (Shanghai)Co's ROCE Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Wave Cyber (Shanghai)Co, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 17%, but since then they've fallen to 4.5%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
In Conclusion...
In summary, Wave Cyber (Shanghai)Co is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And in the last year, the stock has given away 56% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Wave Cyber (Shanghai)Co, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Wave Cyber (Shanghai)Co isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.