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Is The Market Rewarding Shandong Shengli Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000407) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

Is The Market Rewarding Shandong Shengli Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000407) With A Negative Sentiment As A Result Of Its Mixed Fundamentals?

由於基本面喜憂參半,市場是否以負面情緒回報山東勝利股份有限公司(SZSE: 000407)?
Simply Wall St ·  02/02 21:24

With its stock down 20% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Shandong Shengli (SZSE:000407). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Long-term fundamentals are usually what drive market outcomes, so it's worth paying close attention. Specifically, we decided to study Shandong Shengli's ROE in this article.

由於其股票在過去一個月中下跌了20%,很容易被忽視(深圳證券交易所代碼:000407)。但是,我們決定研究公司的財務狀況,以確定它們是否與價格下跌有關。長期基本面通常是推動市場結果的因素,因此值得密切關注。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究山東勝利的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它可以告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。換句話說,它揭示了公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shandong Shengli is:

因此,根據上述公式,山東勝利的投資回報率爲:

4.5% = CN¥144m ÷ CN¥3.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

4.5% = 1.44億元人民幣 ÷ 32億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回報” 是每年的利潤。這意味着,每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,公司就會產生0.05元人民幣的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。

Shandong Shengli's Earnings Growth And 4.5% ROE

山東勝利的收益增長和4.5%的投資回報率

It is quite clear that Shandong Shengli's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 9.3%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Shandong Shengli's five year net income decline of 6.6% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

很明顯,山東勝利的投資回報率相當低。即使與行業平均水平的9.3%相比,投資回報率的數字也相當令人失望。出於這個原因,鑑於其投資回報率較低,山東勝利五年淨收入下降6.6%並不奇怪。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如——收益留存率低或資本配置不善。

That being said, we compared Shandong Shengli's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 5.6% in the same 5-year period.

話雖如此,我們將山東勝利的表現與該行業的表現進行了比較,當我們發現儘管該公司縮減了收益,但該行業在5年同期以5.6%的速度增長了收益時,我們對此感到擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000407 Past Earnings Growth February 3rd 2024
SZSE: 000407 過去的收益增長 2024 年 2 月 3 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Shandong Shengli's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。無論情況如何,投資者都應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水,還是沼澤的水域在等着你。如果你想知道山東勝利的估值,可以看看這個衡量其市盈率與行業相比的指標。

Is Shandong Shengli Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

山東勝利是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

Shandong Shengli's low three-year median payout ratio of 12% (or a retention ratio of 88%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.

山東勝利在過去三年中低的三年派息率中位數爲12%(或88%的留存率),這應該意味着該公司保留了大部分收益來推動增長,但該公司的收益實際上已經萎縮。當公司保留大部分收益時,通常不應出現這種情況。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

In addition, Shandong Shengli has been paying dividends over a period of eight years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,山東勝利已經派發了八年的股息,這表明儘管收益有所下降,但管理層仍傾向於繼續支付股息。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Shandong Shengli's performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Shandong Shengli.

總的來說,我們對山東勝利的表現有點矛盾。儘管該公司的利潤保留率確實很高,但其低迴報率可能會阻礙其收益增長。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。我們的風險儀表板將包含我們爲山東勝利確定的1種風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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