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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering Co., Ltd (SZSE:000518) Shares Dive 27%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 21:22

Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering Co., Ltd (SZSE:000518) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 23% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in China's Biotechs industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 6.5x, you may still consider Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering as a stock to avoid entirely with its 10x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000518 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 3rd 2024

How Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 19% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 48% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 805% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering's very lofty P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Jiangsu Sihuan Bioengineering's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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