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Elevance Health, Inc.'s (NYSE:ELV) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?

Elevance Health, Inc.'s (NYSE:ELV) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?

Elevance Health, Inc.s(纽约证券交易所代码:ELV)股票走强:市场是否遵循基本面?
Simply Wall St ·  02/03 08:56

Elevance Health (NYSE:ELV) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 10% over the last three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. In this article, we decided to focus on Elevance Health's ROE.

Elevance Health(纽约证券交易所代码:ELV)在股票市场上表现良好,其股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了10%。鉴于从长远来看,市场会奖励强劲的财务状况,我们想知道在这种情况下是否如此。在本文中,我们决定重点关注Elevance Health的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。换句话说,它是衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Elevance Health is:

因此,根据上述公式,Elevance Health的投资回报率为:

15% = US$6.0b ÷ US$39b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

15% = 60亿美元 ÷ 390亿美元(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.15 in profit.

“回报” 是每年的利润。另一种看法是,每持有价值1美元的股权,公司就能获得0.15美元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Elevance Health's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

Elevance Health的收益增长和15%的投资回报率

To start with, Elevance Health's ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 11% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This certainly adds some context to Elevance Health's decent 9.5% net income growth seen over the past five years.

首先,Elevance Health的投资回报率看起来可以接受。与11%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率看起来相当可观。这无疑为Elevance Health在过去五年中实现的9.5%的净收入增长增添了一些背景信息。

We then performed a comparison between Elevance Health's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 8.5% in the same 5-year period.

然后,我们对Elevance Health的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,结果显示该公司的增长与5年同期8.5%的行业平均增长率相似。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:ELV Past Earnings Growth February 3rd 2024
纽约证券交易所:ELV过去的收益增长 2024年2月3日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Elevance Health is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。无论情况如何,投资者都应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,你可能需要检查一下Elevance Health相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is Elevance Health Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Elevance Health 是否有效地将其利润再投资?

In Elevance Health's case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 20% (or a retention ratio of 80%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

就Elevance Health而言,其可观的收益增长可以用其三年中位数派息率低至20%(或80%的留存率)来解释,这表明该公司正在将大部分利润投资于发展业务。

Moreover, Elevance Health is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 16% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 20% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

此外,Elevance Health决心继续与股东分享利润,这是我们从其支付股息至少十年的长期历史中推断出来的。在研究了分析师的最新共识数据后,我们发现该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年降至16%。该公司的投资回报率预计将在同期上升至20%,这一事实可以用派息率的下降来解释。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we are quite pleased with Elevance Health's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总的来说,我们对Elevance Health的表现非常满意。特别是,我们喜欢该公司对其业务进行大量再投资,而且回报率很高。毫不奇怪,这带来了令人印象深刻的收益增长。话虽如此,从分析师目前的估计来看,我们发现该公司的收益有望增强。要详细了解分析师对公司的最新预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测的可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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