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Hangzhou CNCR-IT Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300250) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 29%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 3 19:11

The Hangzhou CNCR-IT Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300250) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 33% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in China's Communications industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.8x, you may still consider Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300250 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 4th 2024

How Has Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 34%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 25% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 45% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd's very lofty P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hangzhou CNCR-ITLtd you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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