The HPGC Renmintongtai Pharmaceutical Corporation (SHSE:600829) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 9.0% in the last year.
After such a large drop in price, HPGC Renmintongtai Pharmaceutical's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 27x and even P/E's above 48x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
HPGC Renmintongtai Pharmaceutical certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
HPGC Renmintongtai Pharmaceutical's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 33% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 57% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 42% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why HPGC Renmintongtai Pharmaceutical is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Final Word
HPGC Renmintongtai Pharmaceutical's P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that HPGC Renmintongtai Pharmaceutical maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for HPGC Renmintongtai Pharmaceutical with six simple checks.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than HPGC Renmintongtai Pharmaceutical. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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