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Zhang Jia Jie Tourism Group Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000430) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

張家界観光集団有限公司(SZSE:000430)の株主は退場を考えているかもしれません。

Simply Wall St ·  02/04 19:12

It's not a stretch to say that Zhang Jia Jie Tourism Group Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000430) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Hospitality industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 5.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000430 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024

What Does Zhang Jia Jie Tourism Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Zhang Jia Jie Tourism Group as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhang Jia Jie Tourism Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Zhang Jia Jie Tourism Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 156% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 71% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 37% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Zhang Jia Jie Tourism Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Zhang Jia Jie Tourism Group's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Zhang Jia Jie Tourism Group's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Zhang Jia Jie Tourism Group that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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