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The One-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Zhejiang Jiaxin SilkLtd (SZSE:002404) Stock Falls a Further 16% in Past Week

The One-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Zhejiang Jiaxin SilkLtd (SZSE:002404) Stock Falls a Further 16% in Past Week

由於浙江嘉信絲綢有限公司(SZSE:002404)股價在過去一週進一步下跌16%,一年期股東回報率和公司收益持續走低
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 00:37

One simple way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. But in any given year a good portion of stocks will fall short of that. That's what happened in the case of Zhejiang Jiaxin Silk Corp.,Ltd. (SZSE:002404): its share price dropped 32% while the market declined 26%. At least the damage isn't so bad if you look at the last three years, since the stock is down 16% in that time. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 23% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 19% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

從市場上漲中獲益的一種簡單方法是購買指數基金。但是在任何一年中,很大一部分股票都將低於這個水平。這就是浙江嘉欣絲綢股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002404)的情況:其股價下跌了32%,而市場下跌了26%。如果你看一下過去三年,至少損失還不錯,因爲當時該股下跌了16%。最近跌勢加速,股價在過去三個月中下跌了23%。當然,這種股價走勢很可能受到了整個時期大盤下跌19%的影響。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Zhejiang Jiaxin SilkLtd isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果說過去一週有意義的話,投資者對浙江嘉信絲業有限公司的情緒並不樂觀,所以讓我們看看基本面和股價之間是否存在不匹配的情況。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

Unfortunately Zhejiang Jiaxin SilkLtd reported an EPS drop of 15% for the last year. The share price decline of 32% is actually more than the EPS drop. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, a year ago.

不幸的是,浙江嘉信絲業有限公司報告稱,去年的每股收益下降了15%。股價下跌32%實際上超過了每股收益的跌幅。因此,一年前,市場似乎對該業務過於自信。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片發現確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:002404 Earnings Per Share Growth February 5th 2024
SZSE: 002404 每股收益增長 2024 年 2 月 5 日

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Zhejiang Jiaxin SilkLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

也許值得一看我們關於浙江嘉信絲業有限公司收益、收入和現金流的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Zhejiang Jiaxin SilkLtd's TSR for the last 1 year was -29%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,浙江嘉信絲綢有限公司過去1年的股東總回報率爲-29%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 26% in the twelve months, Zhejiang Jiaxin SilkLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 29% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 1.3% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Jiaxin SilkLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約26%,但浙江嘉信絲綢有限公司股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了29%(甚至包括股息)。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。遺憾的是,去年的業績結束了糟糕的表現,股東在五年內每年面臨1.3%的總虧損。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過,投資者應該 “在街頭流血時買入”,但我們警告說,投資者應首先確保他們購買的是高質量的企業。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們發現了浙江嘉欣絲綢有限公司的1個警告信號,在投資這裏之前,你應該注意這個信號。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你不會想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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