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Investors Aren't Buying China Security Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600654) Revenues

投資家は中国安全株式会社(SHSE:600654)の収益を買っていません

Simply Wall St ·  02/05 02:35

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x China Security Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600654) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Electronic companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600654 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024

What Does China Security's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen firmly for China Security recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Security will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is China Security's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, China Security would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's revenues. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 12% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 60% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we understand why China Security's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From China Security's P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of China Security revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for China Security that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Security, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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