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Shenzhen Institute of Building Research Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300675) 36% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 6 06:05

Shenzhen Institute of Building Research Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300675) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 36% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 38% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies operating in China's Professional Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.5x, you may still consider Shenzhen Institute of Building Research as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300675 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024

How Has Shenzhen Institute of Building Research Performed Recently?

Shenzhen Institute of Building Research hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shenzhen Institute of Building Research.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen Institute of Building Research's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 19% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 20% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 21% during the coming year according to the lone analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 85%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen Institute of Building Research's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Shenzhen Institute of Building Research's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It comes as a surprise to see Shenzhen Institute of Building Research trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for Shenzhen Institute of Building Research (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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