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Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials Co., Ltd (SZSE:300196) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 27% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 5 17:06

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials Co., Ltd (SZSE:300196) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 48% in that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.4x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 27x and even P/E's above 48x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300196 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials.

Is There Any Growth For Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 33%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 99% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 3.1% as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 41% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials' P/E?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials' share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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