The Zhejiang grandwall electric science&technology co.,ltd. (SHSE:603897) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 30%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 40% in that time.
Following the heavy fall in price, Zhejiang grandwall electric science&technologyltd may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.2x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 27x and even P/E's higher than 48x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
The recent earnings growth at Zhejiang grandwall electric science&technologyltd would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this good earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders may have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
Zhejiang grandwall electric science&technologyltd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 3.6% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with EPS shrinking 20% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 41% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Zhejiang grandwall electric science&technologyltd's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Final Word
Zhejiang grandwall electric science&technologyltd's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Zhejiang grandwall electric science&technologyltd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Zhejiang grandwall electric science&technologyltd (at least 2 which make us uncomfortable), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Zhejiang grandwall electric science&technologyltd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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