Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Shanghai Carthane Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603037) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 3.3% over that longer period.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 27x, you may still consider Shanghai CarthaneLtd as an attractive investment with its 22.1x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Shanghai CarthaneLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
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Is There Any Growth For Shanghai CarthaneLtd?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shanghai CarthaneLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 27%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 45% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we can see why Shanghai CarthaneLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
The softening of Shanghai CarthaneLtd's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai CarthaneLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Shanghai CarthaneLtd (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
You might be able to find a better investment than Shanghai CarthaneLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.