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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Jinhong Holding Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000669) Shares Dive 26%

金虹ホールディンググループ株式会社(SZSE:000669)の株価が26%下落し、リスクはまだ高いままです。

Simply Wall St ·  02/05 17:47

Jinhong Holding Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000669) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 11% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Jinhong Holding Group's P/S ratio of 0.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Oil and Gas industry in China is also close to 1.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000669 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024

How Has Jinhong Holding Group Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Jinhong Holding Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jinhong Holding Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jinhong Holding Group?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Jinhong Holding Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 55% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 2.1% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Jinhong Holding Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Jinhong Holding Group's P/S

Jinhong Holding Group's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Jinhong Holding Group currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Jinhong Holding Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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