The Nanfang Black Sesame Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000716) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 47% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Nanfang Black Sesame GroupLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Food industry is similar at about 1.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does Nanfang Black Sesame GroupLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Nanfang Black Sesame GroupLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Nanfang Black Sesame GroupLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 25% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 16% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Nanfang Black Sesame GroupLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Nanfang Black Sesame GroupLtd's P/S
Following Nanfang Black Sesame GroupLtd's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We find it unexpected that Nanfang Black Sesame GroupLtd trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Nanfang Black Sesame GroupLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of Nanfang Black Sesame GroupLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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