The Anhui Province Natural Gas DevelopmentCo.,Ltd. (SHSE:603689) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 18% share price drop.
Following the heavy fall in price, Anhui Province Natural Gas DevelopmentCo.Ltd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 27x and even P/E's above 48x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Anhui Province Natural Gas DevelopmentCo.Ltd has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
SHSE:603689 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Anhui Province Natural Gas DevelopmentCo.Ltd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Anhui Province Natural Gas DevelopmentCo.Ltd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 37% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 65% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's understandable that Anhui Province Natural Gas DevelopmentCo.Ltd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Anhui Province Natural Gas DevelopmentCo.Ltd's P/E?
Shares in Anhui Province Natural Gas DevelopmentCo.Ltd have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Anhui Province Natural Gas DevelopmentCo.Ltd revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware Anhui Province Natural Gas DevelopmentCo.Ltd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Anhui Province Natural Gas DevelopmentCo.Ltd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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