
CITIC Limited's (HKG:267) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
CITIC Limited's (HKG:267) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
CITIC Limited's (HKG:267) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 9x and even P/E's above 17x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
CITIC's negative earnings growth of late has neither been better nor worse than most other companies. It might be that many expect the company's earnings performance to degrade further, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. At the very least, you'd be hoping that earnings don't fall off a cliff if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

How Is CITIC's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as CITIC's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 5.7%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 40% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 5.4% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 16% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why CITIC is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that CITIC maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for CITIC that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
與香港市場相比,中信有限公司(HKG: 267)的市盈率(或 “市盈率”)爲3.2倍,可能使其看起來像是一個強勁的買盤。在香港,約有一半的公司的市盈率超過9倍,甚至市盈率高於17倍也很常見。儘管如此,我們需要更深入地挖掘,以確定市盈率大幅下降是否有合理的基礎。
中信最近的負收益增長既不好也沒有比其他大多數公司差。可能是許多人預計該公司的盈利表現將進一步下滑,這抑制了市盈率。如果你仍然相信該業務,你寧願公司不流失收益。至少,如果你的計劃是在股票失寵的時候買入一些股票,那麼你希望收益不會從懸崖上掉下來。

中信的增長趨勢如何?
只有當公司的增長有望明顯落後於市場時,你才能真正放心地看到像中信一樣低迷的市盈率。
如果我們回顧一下去年的收益,令人沮喪的是,該公司的利潤下降了5.7%。但是,在此之前的幾年非常強勁,這意味着它在過去三年中仍然能夠將每股收益總額增長40%,令人印象深刻。儘管這是一個坎坷的旅程,但可以公平地說,最近的收益增長對公司來說已經足夠了。
展望未來,報道該公司的五位分析師的估計表明,未來三年收益每年將增長5.4%。同時,預計其餘市場每年將增長16%,這明顯更具吸引力。
有了這些信息,我們可以明白爲什麼中信的市盈率低於市場。看來大多數投資者預計未來增長有限,只願意爲股票支付較少的費用。
關鍵要點
通常,在做出投資決策時,我們會謹慎行事,不要過多地閱讀市盈率,儘管這可以充分揭示其他市場參與者對公司的看法。
我們已經確定,中信維持較低的市盈率,原因是其預測的增長低於整個市場,正如預期的那樣。目前,股東們正在接受低市盈率,因爲他們承認未來的收益可能不會帶來任何驚喜。除非這些條件有所改善,否則它們將繼續構成股價在這些水平附近的障礙。
在投資之前,還有其他重要的風險因素需要考慮,我們發現了中信的一個警告信號,你應該注意。
當然,通過尋找一些優秀的候選人,你可能會找到一筆不錯的投資。因此,來看看這份增長記錄強勁、市盈率低的公司的免費名單吧。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Moomoo Securities Australia Limited提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Moomoo Securities Australia Limited, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
風險及免責聲明
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融資訊和交易應用程式。
在美國,moomoo上的投資產品和服務由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美國證券交易委員會(SEC)監管的持牌主體。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融業監管局(FINRA)和證券投資者保護公司(SIPC)的成員。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是通過Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,該公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)監管(牌照號碼︰CMS101000) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMS) ,持有財務顧問豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)資質。本內容未經新加坡金融管理局的審查。
在澳大利亞,moomoo上的金融產品和服務是通過Moomoo Securities Australia Limited提供,該公司是受澳大利亞證券和投資委員會(ASIC)監管的澳大利亞金融服務許可機構(AFSL No. 224663)。請閱讀並理解我們的《金融服務指南》、《條款與條件》、《隱私政策》和其他披露文件,這些文件可在我們的網站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中獲取。
在加拿大,透過moomoo應用程式提供的僅限訂單執行的券商服務由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,並受加拿大投資監管機構(CIRO)監管。
在馬來西亞,moomoo上的投資產品和服務是透過Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,該公司受馬來西亞證券監督委員會(SC)監管(牌照號碼︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有資本市場服務牌照 (CMSL) 。本內容未經馬來西亞證券監督委員會的審查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.,Moomoo Securities Australia Limited, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd., 是關聯公司。
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