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Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002496) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 29% Price Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 5 18:06

The Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002496) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 43% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.8x, you may still consider Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002496 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024

How Has Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture Performed Recently?

For instance, Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 14%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 80% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture's P/S Mean For Investors?

Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Jiangsu Huifeng Bio Agriculture's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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