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The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Troy Information Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300366) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 40%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 5 20:54

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Troy Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300366) shares are down a considerable 40% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 41% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, Troy Information Technology may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x, considering almost half of all companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.3x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300366 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 6th 2024

How Has Troy Information Technology Performed Recently?

Troy Information Technology certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Troy Information Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Troy Information Technology would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 35% gain to the company's top line. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 31% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 44% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Troy Information Technology is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does Troy Information Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

The southerly movements of Troy Information Technology's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As expected, our analysis of Troy Information Technology's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Troy Information Technology (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Troy Information Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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