To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. On that note, looking into Bestsun Energy (SHSE:600681), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Bestsun Energy:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = CN¥601m ÷ (CN¥7.9b - CN¥2.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
So, Bestsun Energy has an ROCE of 11%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 9.2% generated by the Gas Utilities industry.
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Bestsun Energy's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
There is reason to be cautious about Bestsun Energy, given the returns are trending downwards. To be more specific, the ROCE was 24% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Bestsun Energy becoming one if things continue as they have.
The Bottom Line On Bestsun Energy's ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that Bestsun Energy is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 42% from where it was five years ago. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One more thing to note, we've identified 2 warning signs with Bestsun Energy and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
While Bestsun Energy isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.